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Thread: Predictions

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Tennessee
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    250

    Default Predictions

    According to the South Dakota GFP the annual brood survey starts July 25 and ends August 15. What is your prediction for the state wide % up down or the same

  2. #2

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chip View Post
    According to the South Dakota GFP the annual brood survey starts July 25 and ends August 15. What is your prediction for the state wide % up down or the same
    statewide, up 40%. some areas probably up around 70%, some up only 10%. still pretty low in real #'s...we went from about 3 birds per mile in 2016 to about 1.7 last year. Again, that is statewide. I bet the average is around 2.5 birds per mile, which could be a 50% increase.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
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    South Dakota / Arizona
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    Default

    Throw the percentages out. While a 50% increase seems fantastic think about it like this. If your area had 1.7 birds per mile last year a 50% increase is only about .8 birds. From all that I'm reading and hearing the numbers statewide will certainly be up from last year. But I think it may vary greatly from one area to another due to some extreme weather differences. The southeast part of the state had a lot of rain and flooding which could not have helped. And the central part from Huron up to Aberdeen is still in a severe drought area. Overall, look for increased pheasant numbers and better hunting than last year.
    Janee's August Breeze - Bree
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  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dakotazeb View Post
    Throw the percentages out. While a 50% increase seems fantastic think about it like this. If your area had 1.7 birds per mile last year a 50% increase is only about .8 birds. From all that I'm reading and hearing the numbers statewide will certainly be up from last year. But I think it may vary greatly from one area to another due to some extreme weather differences. The southeast part of the state had a lot of rain and flooding which could not have helped. And the central part from Huron up to Aberdeen is still in a severe drought area. Overall, look for increased pheasant numbers and better hunting than last year.
    like I said, a 50% increase still results in a low overall number of birds...we must have written our replies about the same time...but by far, this winter, spring and summer are better as a whole than 2017 as a whole...good thing the worst weather (SE) is an area that isn't that great to begin with, so the real impact of that rain won't be that great...

  5. #5

    Cool

    no, overall #'s will still be sucky vs the 10 year average...but even in bad years I have lots of fun, so if I have 25% or 50% MORE fun than last year, that is OK!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
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    2,295

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    Quote Originally Posted by benelli-banger View Post
    no, overall #'s will still be sucky vs the 10 year average...but even in bad years I have lots of fun, so if I have 25% or 50% MORE fun than last year, that is OK!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    number of birds seen per mile is all i care to know...........

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Oct 2016
    Location
    Sioux Falls, SD
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    882

    Default

    Southeast up 30%
    South central up 45%
    North central up 40%
    Northeast up 25%
    Statewide up 38.62%
    The 5 numbers above will be as useful as the brood survey report in predicting what this season will be like. But.....those are my guesses.
    "Most pheasants in South Dakota don't react too well to #5s." -The Hunt for Red Rooster

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by A5 Sweet 16 View Post
    Southeast up 30%
    South central up 45%
    North central up 40%
    Northeast up 25%
    Statewide up 38.62%
    The 5 numbers above will be as useful as the brood survey report in predicting what this season will be like. But.....those are my guesses.

    i am in general agreement...SE not as much, SC you are on, NC not as much, NE you are on, Statewide you are on...Chamberlain area probably highest count, though they may have been hit by drought last year, but I think they were still the highest last year

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Nov 2016
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    49

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    100% increase...

    This would only put us back to 2016 numbers, but I would take it.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by Woollybob View Post
    100% increase...

    This would only put us back to 2016 numbers, but I would take it.
    the percentage of increase will be deceiving............the number of birds observed per mile is the number that tells the true story.

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